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Business over
the Internet is growing at a very fast pace. The
first domain name was registered on March 15,
1985. It took another 15 months to register first
100 names, primarily by universities and Fortune
1000 companies. Today, there are close to 12 million
active web sites. It is predicted that by 2004
there would be 120 million registered web sites.
In
terms of number of users, it is estimated that
1 billion people would be using the Internet in
2001. In a survey of 15,000 online customers by
dotcom.com, it was observed that 67% of those
surveyed, planned to get a web site within the
next year, a majority of them want to start an
online business of their own. Thus, a large percentage
of consumers themselves are getting ready to identify
their own niches and start a business. Total retail
sales over the holiday period alone may reach
$20 billion this year. Yearly sales over the Internet
may reach 400 billion by the end of 2002. The
growth in Business to Business (B2B) e-commerce
is even more stunning. According to Gartner Group,
the worldwide B2B market will grow from $145 billion
in 1999 to 7.29 trillion in the year 2004.
Power of the Internet has been harnessed
in various ways. Internet has been used to sell
things identical to the ones sold in traditional
stores, e.g., books by Amazon.com which dominates
in retail sales on the web. Internet has also
made some services better than the previous mode
of delivery, e.g., web-based training and education.
It is estimated that web-based corporate training
alone would grow to $11 billion by 2003, from
1.1 billion this year.
Still more businesses arose because
of the Internet itself, e.g., use of e-mail for
communication. Jupiter Communications predicts
that e-mail marketing industry would reach over
7 billion by 2005. Even though most of the growth
in the past was business to consumer, most growth
in the future is projected to be in the business
to business sector. The Gartner Group has estimated
that by 2004, 10% of e-business would be business
to consumer and 90% would be business to business.
Theo Mantzanas, Senior Manager in Arthur D. Little's
e-Learning and Performance Practice, argues that
brick and mortar companies need to know how to
transition to B2B to utilize the Internet. This
change is taking place at brick and mortar companies.
At GE, for example, auction transaction has been
estimated to be $5 billion this year, up from
200 million last year.
Early entrants were rewarded handsomely
in terms of both the market share and stock evaluations.
In the last few years, higher evaluations for
these companies were observed as these evaluations
were based on revenue projections and not on underlying
profits. It was later observed that some businesses
were using different accounting practices to show
higher revenue projections. In the last few months,
a large number of e-businesses saw a sharp decline
in their stock prices. This experience underscored
the point that the type of business or the mode
in which the business is conducted may change,
but the business fundamentals do not. The business
still needs to be run efficiently, still needs
to address issues related to finance, marketing,
accounting, etc. and one still needs to comply
with various regulations. And, in the end, the
business must make money. Bill Clair, CEO, Innovate!
EC, compares the web-based system to the tip of
the iceberg. Just like most of the iceberg is
under water and only the tip is visible above
water, in an e-business, only the web-based portion
of the business may be visible, but a much bigger
effort to have all aspects of brick and mortar
kind of business activities, from capacity planning,
to forecasting, to inventory management to shipping
has be done like the way it is done for a brick
and mortar business. It is here that knowledge
of the whole business is important.
Some students are struggling with
the question of why an MBA in e-Commerce. Some
think that they could start working for a high
tech company and pick up relevant information
through training programs while on the job. However,
even tech savvy individuals need to understand
fundamentals of running a business to have a successful
venture. To put it in context, overall, US corporations
spent $16.5 billion on training and education
of its managers. A Business Week survey found
that, when companies send their executive for
further training, most wanted topics are: leadership
skills, entrepreneurship, and the Net. What Internet
has done is to provide access to the customer
as never before. The fundamentals of business,
however, have not changed and a successful entrepreneur
needs both the knowledge of technology and fundamental
aspects of business. An MBA in e-Commerce is designed
for addressing this need.
Rustagi, Narendra K.
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